Super League Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 4-1
Grasshopper vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2025 |
GCZ
2 - 0
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SIO
2 - 1
GCZ
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
GCZ
5 - 0
YVE
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ZUR
3 - 0
GCZ
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
WIN
2 - 0
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 1
STA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 3
FCA
33%
25%
43%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 4
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
THU
2 - 1
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCA
19%
22%
59%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |