Grasshopper vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
8 - 1
GCZ
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 0
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
YOB
1 - 1
GCZ
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
GCZ
2 - 1
NEX
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
STG
0 - 0
GCZ
42%
24%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 1
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 3
FCA
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 3
YOB
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 3
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FCA
4 - 0
SER
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +2 |