Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 5-4
Grasshopper vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 1
KRR
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
KRR
3 - 3
GCZ
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
0 - 1
WOH
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
PAO
1 - 1
APO
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
APO
1 - 1
IKS
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
APO
2 - 1
OMO
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
OMO
1 - 2
APO
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
APO
1 - 0
APO
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |