UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 2-3
Grasshopper vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 1
SER
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
THU
3 - 2
GCZ
23%
22%
56%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2003 |
GCZ
5 - 3
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 1
GCZ
24%
22%
54%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GCZ
0 - 1
NEX
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2003 |
AEK
4 - 2
PAN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAN
0 - 2
AEK
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2003 |
PAO
1 - 1
AEK
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
AEK
4 - 0
ARI
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
AEK
0 - 1
PAO
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |