Grasse vs Thonon Évian analysis

Grasse Thonon Évian
54 ELO 46
-8.8% Tilt -15.5%
3053º General ELO ranking 5898º
68º Country ELO ranking 138º
ELO win probability
53.4%
Grasse
24.5%
Draw
22.2%
Thonon Évian

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
Grasse
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.1%
Win probability
Thonon Évian
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grasse
-10%
-20%
Thonon Évian

Points and table prediction

Grasse
Their league position
Thonon Évian
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
28
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aubagne
52
52
100%
Le Puy
46
46
100%
Grasse
42
42
100%
Jura Sud
41
41
100%
Cannes
40
40
100%
Hyères
37
37
100%
Fréjus St-Raphaël
36
36
100%
Sporting Toulon Var
35
35
100%
Andrézieux
34
34
100%
Olympique Alès
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Thonon Évian
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Chamalières
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Bourgoin-Jallieu
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Toulouse II
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Grasse
Thonon Évian
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Grasse
Thonon Évian
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grasse
Grasse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
HYE
Hyères
2 - 2
Grasse
GRA
33%
30%
38%
54 50 4 0
13 Apr. 2024
GRA
Grasse
1 - 2
Le Puy
LPV
31%
29%
40%
54 60 6 0
06 Apr. 2024
CAN
Cannes
1 - 1
Grasse
GRA
43%
28%
29%
54 53 1 0
23 Mar. 2024
GRA
Grasse
1 - 1
Aubagne
AUB
46%
27%
27%
54 53 1 0
16 Mar. 2024
GRA
Grasse
2 - 1
Sporting Toulon Var
SPO
54%
25%
21%
54 49 5 0

Matches

Thonon Évian
Thonon Évian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2024
THO
Thonon Évian
4 - 2
Bourgoin-Jallieu
BOU
59%
23%
18%
46 41 5 0
13 Apr. 2024
TOU
Toulouse II
4 - 2
Thonon Évian
THO
31%
26%
44%
48 37 11 -2
06 Apr. 2024
THO
Thonon Évian
1 - 1
Chamalières
CHA
48%
25%
27%
47 48 1 +1
23 Mar. 2024
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
3 - 0
Thonon Évian
THO
40%
27%
33%
49 49 0 -2
16 Mar. 2024
THO
Thonon Évian
2 - 1
Olympique Alès
OLY
47%
24%
28%
48 47 1 +1