Grasse vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OLY
1 - 0
GRA
35%
26%
38%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 0
MGG
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
GRA
20%
26%
55%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 4
JUR
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 0
GRA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAI
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 0
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 2
RVA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MGG
0 - 1
SPO
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
FCM
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |