Grasse vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 3
GRA
54%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 2
FRE
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GAR
0 - 1
GRA
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
6 - 0
VEN
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
EVI
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
SPO
22%
24%
53%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUB
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |