Grasse vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
AUB
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
GRA
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FEU
1 - 1
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
VAU
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AUB
3 - 3
AJA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
VAU
0 - 0
AJA
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
AGD
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |