Grasse vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FUR
2 - 0
GRA
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
FRE
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 0
GRA
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 1
GRA
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
2 - 3
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 0
AJA
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 3
COR
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
NIC
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |