Grapiuna Itabuna vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
56.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
JEQ
2 - 0
GRA
64%
20%
15%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
JEQ
15%
19%
66%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
JUA
1 - 2
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
JEC
2 - 0
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 1
JEC
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 2
JEQ
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLU
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |