Grapiuna Itabuna vs Jacobinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
COL
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ADL
0 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 72 | 41 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
GAL
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
PBA
1 - 1
GRA
14%
17%
69%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Jacobinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 1
VIT
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SSA
4 - 1
JEC
13%
17%
70%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | -3 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
JEC
0 - 3
COL
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JEC
0 - 2
ADL
4%
11%
85%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
JEC
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |