Grapiuna Itabuna vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 4
SSA
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GAL
8 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 7
BAH
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 0
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 1
YPI
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SSA
1 - 2
FLU
18%
20%
62%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 0
TDF
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FLU
1 - 1
BAH
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ADL
0 - 3
FLU
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +2 |