Baiano 2 Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Grapiuna Itabuna vs Colo Colo BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
5 - 0
FEI
34%
23%
44%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
SSA
1 - 2
GRA
20%
20%
61%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 1
JEC
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Colo Colo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GRA
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 1
COL
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
FLU
31%
28%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 3
COL
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
SSA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |