Grapiuna Itabuna vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
61.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 0
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 2
YPI
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TDF
0 - 0
GRA
25%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 3
ADL
4%
9%
87%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
FLU
1 - 1
BAH
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
BAH
2 - 1
SSA
83%
12%
6%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BAH
6 - 2
ADL
16%
18%
67%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAL
0 - 0
BAH
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
BAH
7 - 0
TDF
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |