Grapiuna Itabuna vs Jequié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 3
GRA
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
FLA
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
GRA
74%
17%
9%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
ITA
14%
20%
66%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | +4 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Jequié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
JEQ
4 - 3
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
YPI
3 - 1
JEQ
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JEQ
1 - 1
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
JEQ
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JEQ
1 - 1
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |