GRAP vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALQ
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 3
ADP
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 4
USA
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
VIT
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
OLI
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
RDA
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GDF
0 - 1
VIT
48%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 3
BMA
9%
19%
72%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |