GRAP vs Guiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
GRA
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GDA
4 - 0
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
1 - 0
GRA
14%
19%
67%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PEL
0 - 3
GRA
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
PEN
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
LEM
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
PAT
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GDA
3 - 2
GUI
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALQ
4 - 3
GUI
11%
18%
71%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 1
PEL
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |