GRAP vs CD Torres Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
PEL
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 1
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
CCA
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 3
GRA
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 3
MDB
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Torres Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 3
CDT
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
EMP
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
CDT
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAZ
2 - 2
CDT
42%
24%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 0
UFT
11%
19%
70%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | +1 |