GRAP vs Alqueidão Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 3
ADP
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 4
USA
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 0
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 1
PEL
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
ALQ
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
PAT
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GDA
5 - 1
ALQ
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 1
ALQ
76%
16%
9%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 3
PEL
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |