Grantham Town vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grantham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
HED
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
NOR
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
KEN
1 - 0
GRA
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 0
GRA
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 2
STO
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
MAT
1 - 0
CHO
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
5 - 1
FRI
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 4
FYL
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
0 - 0
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 3
NAN
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |