Gränichen vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
62.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gränichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
GRA
41%
23%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LER
4 - 2
GRA
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 1
OLT
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
5 - 0
GRA
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 1
LAN
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
64%
18%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
THU
5 - 2
DUL
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 4
THU
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
MOU
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WOH
1 - 2
THU
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |