Grănicerul vs FC Edinet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
67.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
12º
12º
35
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ISK
4 - 0
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 0
GRA
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 2
CFR
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARO
4 - 0
GRA
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 6
FCO
21%
18%
61%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Edinet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 0
CFR
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARO
3 - 1
FCE
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
3 - 1
FCE
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -3 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VCU
0 - 0
FCE
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
4 - 0
FCT
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |