Grănicerul vs Cruiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
69%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFR
4 - 0
GRA
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
SIN
8%
15%
77%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
COD
2 - 0
GRA
67%
18%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 3
CFS
18%
18%
65%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 1
GRA
85%
11%
5%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cruiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 2
CRU
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CRU
7 - 2
CFR
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
4 - 2
CRU
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 0
COD
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 1
CRU
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |