Grange Thistle vs The Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grange Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
5 - 1
GRA
65%
17%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
NPI
76%
14%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MGH
1 - 1
GRA
11%
16%
74%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAY
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 0
GRA
18%
18%
64%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
GAP
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GAP
2 - 0
MGH
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 2
GAP
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GAP
1 - 2
TAR
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GAP
3 - 0
STO
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |