Grange Thistle vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grange Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
LOG
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 0
ROC
23%
19%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MIT
4 - 1
GRA
62%
19%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 2
EAS
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 2
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
55%
22%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 3
EAS
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 0
PEN
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
HPH
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |