Grange Quins vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
WEL
2 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
CWM
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
GRA
73%
16%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
HAV
7 - 0
GRA
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
TNS
3 - 0
AIR
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
CWM
1 - 4
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
LLA
1 - 0
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |