Grande-Synthe vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
GRA
37%
26%
38%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 3
GRA
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DIE
1 - 3
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ISS
0 - 0
GRA
35%
25%
39%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCE
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
ISS
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ROU
1 - 2
CAL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOU
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAL
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |