Grande-Synthe vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
NOI
0 - 3
GRA
40%
28%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
2 - 2
GRA
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 0
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 0
OIS
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 3
OIS
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LEH
3 - 2
ARR
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 0
NOI
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
ARR
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |