Grand Rapids vs AFC Ann Arbor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
1 - 0
KAL
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
MSF
3 - 2
GRF
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
2 - 0
COL
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
GRF
0 - 0
DET
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
TVF
1 - 4
GRF
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Ann Arbor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
AAA
3 - 0
IND
90%
8%
3%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
TVF
1 - 4
AAA
8%
15%
77%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
AAA
4 - 1
COL
64%
19%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
KAL
0 - 0
AAA
30%
22%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
AAA
0 - 2
GRF
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |