Grand Rapids vs AFC Ann Arbor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
DET
0 - 2
GRF
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GRF
0 - 3
COL
69%
17%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
KAL
2 - 3
GRF
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
GRF
6 - 0
IND
94%
5%
1%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
GRF
5 - 0
KAL
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Ann Arbor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
4 - 0
KAL
73%
15%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DET
0 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
1 - 1
MIT
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
AAA
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
2 - 0
GRF
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |