Grand-Lancy vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grand-Lancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MEY
0 - 0
GRA
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAT
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCM
3 - 3
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 2
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
ECH
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
3 - 2
SIO
27%
24%
49%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LEM
0 - 1
FRI
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 0
FCM
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UGS
2 - 0
FRI
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BAU
2 - 1
FRI
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |