Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Granada vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 2
AGD
40%
27%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CDL
1 - 1
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
GRA
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
G74
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
GRA
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ROQ
0 - 1
RJA
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
ECI
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |