Granada vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
GET
2 - 2
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
VCF
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 2
GRA
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
RSO
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 2
RAY
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
RAY
3 - 1
GET
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2012 |
RAY
3 - 0
LEV
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VCF
0 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 2
ZAR
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |