Granada vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 1
GRA
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 2
UBC
48%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 1
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
G74
2 - 1
GRA
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 3
ROQ
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 0
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
LUC
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 0
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 2
CDL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ECI
3 - 0
MEL
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |