Granada vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 2
GRA
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 1
CCF
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
VAD
2 - 1
GRA
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 2
GRA
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
3 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDT
30%
28%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
FCB
1 - 2
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZAR
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 1
LUG
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |