Granada vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPO
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
RAC
1 - 2
GRA
57%
20%
23%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 0
RCF
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
3 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
GIR
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LEV
1 - 1
HER
59%
18%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 1
BAD
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |