Granada vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.4%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BAZ
1 - 1
GRA
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 0
ALM
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
UDS
0 - 2
GRA
26%
28%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
MOT
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 1
MAR
75%
18%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAZ
24%
28%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
UDS
36%
27%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
MOT
24%
29%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |