Granada vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 1
GRA
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
ARE
56%
25%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
VEL
2 - 0
GRA
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
AND
79%
15%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 1
GRA
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
AND
0 - 1
MAN
26%
27%
47%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 0
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 0
UBE
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
ALH
1 - 0
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |