Recreativo Granada vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
6 - 1
ECI
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 2
GRA
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 3
CAD
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRA
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
LUC
54%
25%
20%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 2
CRD
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 1
LUC
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
MEL
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |