Recreativo Granada vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
EXT
2 - 1
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
EXT
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
CRD
2 - 1
GRA
48%
27%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
CRD
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALM
8%
15%
77%
|
41 | 81 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 2
GRA
10%
17%
74%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LOR
1 - 1
PXD
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PXD
3 - 3
LOR
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CFC
0 - 0
LOR
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |