Gran Peña vs Unión Dena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 0
GRA
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
PON
50%
25%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 0
CAL
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PON
1 - 4
GRA
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
BEL
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Dena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UDE
1 - 2
PON
28%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 0
UDE
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UDE
1 - 3
UMI
23%
21%
56%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SES
0 - 0
UDE
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UDE
0 - 2
MAR
19%
20%
61%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |