Gran IL vs Ottestad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gran IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GIL
3 - 0
RFK
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 0
GIL
61%
20%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GIL
1 - 0
SIL
47%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 1
GIL
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 1
RAU
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Ottestad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
OTT
3 - 2
MIL
81%
12%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
OTT
6 - 1
RFK
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
HAM
2 - 1
OTT
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
RAU
3 - 3
OTT
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
OTT
6 - 0
SFO
86%
9%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |