Gramadense vs AE Garibaldi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1465%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gramadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 4
GRA
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
MON
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
GRA
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
MFC
12%
16%
72%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AEG
0 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
AE Garibaldi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
AEG
0 - 0
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
AEG
2 - 1
MFC
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 3
AEG
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
AEG
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AEG
0 - 1
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |