Graham St Prims vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LEE
5 - 0
SHE
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SHE
0 - 6
BEL
9%
18%
73%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
SHE
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 4
STA
14%
21%
66%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ILK
5 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |