Gragnano vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
REN
2 - 0
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
GRA
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
NFR
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USV
3 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SIR
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUV
4 - 3
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
CIT
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |