Gragnano vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
1 - 1
GRA
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 3
REG
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
GRA
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SCO
0 - 3
GRA
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
NFR
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
GEL
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
USV
2 - 0
GEL
53%
25%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -4 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GEL
1 - 2
SIR
10%
20%
70%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
REN
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |