Gragnano vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RPO
2 - 0
GRA
59%
20%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 3
AUD
26%
23%
50%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 1
GRA
43%
23%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 0
NAR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
0 - 3
AUD
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
0 - 3
AUD
26%
23%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
AUD
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
AUD
0 - 2
JUS
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |