Gragnano vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 1
GRA
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
REN
1 - 1
GRA
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 0
RAA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GRA
4 - 0
GLA
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
POM
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
DTO
0 - 4
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SIC
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
TUR
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |