Grafičar vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
10º
3º
59
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 3
GRA
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 1
LOZ
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MAV
2 - 2
GRA
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
PGE
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
ZEL
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
JED
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
TKS
2 - 3
NOV
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
4 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HAP
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
NPA
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |