Gradina Srebrenik vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
11º
42
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
94.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gradina Srebrenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 2
GRD
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TMS
3 - 1
GRD
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GRD
5 - 1
GOR
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 4
GRD
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 1
RAD
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 2
ČEL
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
0 - 0
SLO
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
TOS
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NSO
2 - 0
SLO
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |